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Red83
379226.8
336021.8
461118.4
Blue101
461341.5
393225.5
640115.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions619005010015083101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3792
#28
26.81.5
24.425.8
Auto6.5
Teleop9.5
End10.7
blue by 14.7
41.50.8
43.344.1
Auto7.0
Teleop23.0
End11.5
Second
3360
#64
21.81.5
19.521.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.5
End7.0
blue by 3.8
3932
#41
25.50.8
22.223.0
Auto7.4
Teleop5.1
End13.0
Third
4611
#37
18.41.5
17.218.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End6.2
red by 2.9
6401
#68
15.40.8
15.115.9
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned90%Hangar oddsEarned