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Red103
881810.4
409933.5
8533.5
Blue71
494415.8
208013.2
365529.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80540204010012014010371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#34
33.51.8
31.233.0
Auto10.1
Teleop14.7
End8.8
red by 3.6
3655
#63
29.91.1
30.231.3
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End10.9
Second
85
#8
33.51.8
32.834.6
Auto10.1
Teleop18.6
End4.8
red by 17.6
4944
#66
15.81.1
14.315.5
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End6.5
Third
8818
#53
10.41.8
7.99.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 2.8
2080
#57
13.21.1
9.410.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned57%Hangar oddsEarned