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Red50
674916.7
408934.6
630011.0
Blue104
238328.7
395928.6
3346.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7311505010015020050104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#45
34.61.6
41.940.2
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End5.5
blue by 11.8
33
#10
46.30.2
47.046.8
Auto12.1
Teleop22.5
End11.7
Second
6749
#55
16.71.6
18.516.8
Auto4.8
Teleop2.3
End9.6
blue by 12.0
2383
#38
28.70.2
28.928.7
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End7.1
Third
6300
#44
11.01.6
13.912.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End1.6
blue by 17.6
3959
#17
28.60.2
27.026.8
Auto6.6
Teleop17.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
58%Cargo oddsMissed92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsMissed86%Hangar oddsEarned