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Red58
665219.8
336021.8
802215.2
Blue22
853717.4
800611.6
879313.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6146020801001205822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#64
21.80.2
21.021.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.5
End7.0
red by 4.4
8537
#59
17.41.5
19.417.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End3.4
Second
6652
#58
19.80.2
19.920.1
Auto7.1
Teleop7.9
End4.9
red by 6.5
8793
#47
13.31.5
13.011.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End4.5
Third
8022
#65
15.20.2
14.514.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End3.3
red by 3.6
8006
#46
11.61.5
12.410.9
Auto5.4
Teleop1.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed