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Red173
12550.4
365529.9
97152.0
Blue132
246843.2
205657.8
803333.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13914580100120160180200220173132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
52.00.6
51.452.0
Auto15.9
Teleop27.9
End8.3
blue by 5.7
2056
#16
57.80.2
58.258.1
Auto16.9
Teleop31.5
End9.3
Second
125
#12
50.40.6
49.850.4
Auto12.2
Teleop27.9
End10.3
red by 7.2
43.20.2
43.743.5
Auto7.7
Teleop23.3
End12.2
Third
3655
#63
29.90.6
29.830.3
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End10.9
blue by 3.3
8033
#36
33.30.2
33.833.6
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End2.9