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Red53
86255.0
4578.9
215826.7
Blue35
11646.8
473410.3
436414.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442902060805335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.9
25.426.3
Auto8.4
Teleop13.4
End4.9
red by 12.3
14.30.4
8.48.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.6
Second
457
#10
8.90.9
8.69.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End4.5
blue by 1.4
4734
#19
10.30.4
11.311.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Third
8625
#14
5.00.9
5.46.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 1.8
1164
#23
6.80.6
9.810.4
Auto1.7
Teleop0.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsEarned