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Red30
415318.4
436414.3
83253.7
Blue30
86255.0
75409.8
852812.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383201020506070803030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End9.2
red by 6.2
8528
#16
12.3
Auto5.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
Second
14.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.6
red by 4.5
7540
#18
9.8
Auto4.3
Teleop1.8
End3.7
Third
8325
#24
3.7
Auto1.3
Teleop0.1
End2.3
blue by 1.3
8625
#14
5.0
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed