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Red14
84083.8
26139.4
473410.3
Blue51
852812.3
348117.1
749219.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21450103040506070801451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4734
#19
10.30.6
12.011.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End3.5
blue by 9.1
19.30.0
16.716.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End8.3
Second
2613
#11
9.41.0
7.66.6
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 7.7
17.10.0
9.69.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End4.8
Third
8408
#27
3.80.6
3.52.9
Auto0.7
Teleop1.3
End1.7
blue by 8.5
8528
#16
12.30.0
13.113.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsEarned