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Red47
753410.3
749219.3
69747.8
Blue6
83253.7
86255.0
83697.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions431706080476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.1
16.716.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End8.3
red by 12.2
8369
#21
7.11.2
7.46.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.2
End2.3
Second
7534
#22
10.30.1
10.910.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End3.2
red by 5.3
8625
#14
5.01.2
5.03.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Third
6974
#15
7.80.2
9.29.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End1.4
red by 4.1
8325
#24
3.71.9
6.95.0
Auto1.3
Teleop0.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed