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Red22
85126.8
84083.8
852812.3
Blue35
415318.4
85912.7
11646.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253101020405060702235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8528
#16
12.30.4
13.713.3
Auto5.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
blue by 6.2
18.40.1
17.817.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End9.2
Second
8512
#26
6.80.7
7.97.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.2
Level
1164
#23
6.80.1
7.47.2
Auto1.7
Teleop0.7
End4.4
Third
8408
#27
3.80.4
2.62.2
Auto0.7
Teleop1.3
End1.7
red by 1.1
8591
#17
2.70.1
2.92.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End-1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed