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Red38
406326.5
58669.0
86255.0
Blue16
4578.9
852812.3
84083.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432701020506070803816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.0
26.826.8
Auto6.5
Teleop16.6
End3.4
red by 14.2
8528
#16
12.30.7
14.413.7
Auto5.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
Second
9.00.0
7.47.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.6
End2.9
red by 0.1
457
#10
8.90.7
10.810.0
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End4.5
Third
8625
#14
5.00.0
3.73.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.6
red by 1.2
8408
#27
3.80.7
1.91.2
Auto0.7
Teleop1.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed