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Red44
41812.2
436414.3
85126.8
Blue9
83253.7
69747.8
77507.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3421010304050607080449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.30.9
12.012.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.6
red by 6.5
7750
#20
7.80.8
8.37.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End2.6
Second
418
#6
12.20.9
10.611.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End6.4
red by 4.5
6974
#15
7.81.1
7.76.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End1.4
Third
8512
#26
6.81.3
7.89.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.2
red by 3.1
8325
#24
3.71.2
5.34.1
Auto1.3
Teleop0.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed