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Red78
406326.5
420645.1
85126.8
Blue45
41812.2
415318.4
77507.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93330204060801001201407845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.1
45.645.5
Auto13.0
Teleop27.7
End4.4
red by 26.7
18.40.1
18.518.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End9.2
Second
26.50.1
27.026.9
Auto6.5
Teleop16.6
End3.4
red by 14.2
418
#6
12.20.1
12.312.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End6.4
Third
8512
#26
6.80.1
7.47.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.2
blue by 1.0
7750
#20
7.80.1
7.98.0
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End2.6