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Red30
215826.7
749219.3
83253.7
Blue72
436414.3
348117.1
84083.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions592902040801003072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.5
27.326.8
Auto8.4
Teleop13.4
End4.9
red by 9.6
17.10.7
15.616.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End4.8
Second
19.30.5
20.019.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End8.3
red by 5.0
14.30.7
12.913.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.6
Third
8325
#24
3.70.5
4.43.9
Auto1.3
Teleop0.1
End2.3
blue by 0.1
8408
#27
3.80.7
2.33.1
Auto0.7
Teleop1.3
End1.7