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Red0
246827.0
680048.1
81447.5
Blue66
268725.6
288127.9
86106.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92580204080100120140066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#1DQ
48.10.0
47.947.9
Auto10.5
Teleop24.8
End12.8
red by 20.2
27.90.1
27.727.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.7
End10.3
Second
2468
#8DQ
27.00.0
26.826.8
Auto5.5
Teleop11.9
End9.6
red by 1.4
25.60.1
25.325.2
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End9.0
Third
8144
#31DQ
7.50.0
7.57.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End1.6
red by 1.2
8610
#24
6.30.1
6.05.9
Auto2.4
Teleop0.0
End3.8