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Red20
83697.0
808814.3
77509.9
Blue35
268918.1
61558.9
73126.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24290102040502035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8088
#14
14.30.5
10.510.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End4.4
blue by 3.8
18.10.6
12.513.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Second
7750
#19
9.90.8
6.45.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End2.3
red by 1.0
6155
#21
8.90.6
7.47.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.9
End0.4
Third
8369
#35
7.00.8
6.05.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.5
End1.3
red by 0.6
7312
#25
6.40.6
6.67.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed