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Red40
857315.4
70887.6
367916.8
Blue24
59864.6
808814.3
35456.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2929102040504024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3679
#10
16.80.8
13.214.0
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End5.6
red by 2.5
8088
#14
14.30.5
12.812.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End4.4
Second
8573
#18
15.41.4
10.011.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End6.1
red by 9.4
3545
#33
6.00.8
8.17.3
Auto3.5
Teleop-1.3
End3.8
Third
7088
#28
7.61.4
4.15.5
Auto4.4
Teleop1.3
End1.9
red by 3.0
5986
#36DQ
4.60.8
6.45.5
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed