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Red48
77509.9
268725.6
73126.4
Blue47
288127.9
572614.7
87509.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395410203050607080904847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.6
25.926.6
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End9.0
blue by 2.4
27.90.1
29.529.3
Auto7.9
Teleop9.7
End10.3
Second
7750
#19
9.91.1
4.85.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End2.3
blue by 4.9
14.70.1
9.19.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End4.2
Third
7312
#25
6.40.6
7.68.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End0.6
blue by 3.0
8750
#27
9.40.2
10.210.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed47%Hangar oddsMissed