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Red30
88194.2
268918.1
25839.4
Blue16
83697.0
88183.3
4578.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342401020304050603016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.10.6
17.316.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End3.5
red by 9.4
457
#11
8.61.3
13.912.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End2.1
Second
2583
#20
9.40.9
6.65.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
red by 2.4
8369
#35
7.01.3
4.02.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.5
End1.3
Third
8819
#26
4.20.9
6.55.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End0.5
red by 0.9
8818
#30
3.31.3
5.94.6
Auto1.7
Teleop-0.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed