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Red18
73126.4
637723.4
288127.9
Blue93
367916.8
86106.3
680048.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63682040801001893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.92.8
29.326.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.7
End10.3
blue by 20.2
48.11.7
42.344.0
Auto10.5
Teleop24.8
End12.8
Second
6377
#12
23.42.8
22.119.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End7.5
red by 6.6
3679
#10
16.81.7
15.116.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End5.6
Third
7312
#25
6.42.8
8.35.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End0.6
red by 0.1
8610
#24
6.31.7
6.17.8
Auto2.4
Teleop0.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsEarned