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Red4
35612.2
81447.5
70887.6
Blue41
51039.4
637723.4
25839.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2439010203050607080441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7088
#28
7.62.3
8.76.4
Auto4.4
Teleop1.3
End1.9
blue by 15.8
6377
#12
23.40.1
16.316.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End7.5
Second
8144
#31
7.52.3
8.15.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End1.6
blue by 1.9
2583
#20
9.40.2
9.59.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
Third
3561
#32
2.22.3
7.95.6
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.2
End1.1
blue by 7.2
5103
#22
9.40.2
9.49.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed