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Red15
88183.3
811417.0
59864.6
Blue45
4578.6
268918.1
70887.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26400102030506070801545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.8
16.515.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End10.3
blue by 1.1
18.10.2
16.716.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Second
5986
#36
4.61.3
5.44.1
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End0.1
blue by 4.1
457
#11
8.60.3
12.612.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End2.1
Third
8818
#30
3.31.3
4.63.3
Auto1.7
Teleop-0.1
End1.7
blue by 4.3
7088
#28
7.60.3
6.25.9
Auto4.4
Teleop1.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed