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Red63
572614.7
25839.4
246827.0
Blue50
752118.2
83697.0
215825.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32431020506070806350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.01.8
16.818.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.9
End9.6
red by 1.6
25.41.3
22.323.5
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End2.0
Second
14.71.8
9.010.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End4.2
blue by 3.5
18.20.8
13.714.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End6.5
Third
2583
#20
9.43.1
5.78.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
red by 2.4
8369
#35
7.01.3
2.63.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsEarned