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Red31
288127.9
59087.3
81447.5
Blue59
246827.0
88798.0
857315.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4142203050603159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.5
26.826.3
Auto7.9
Teleop9.7
End10.3
red by 0.9
27.01.4
19.821.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.9
End9.6
Second
8144
#31
7.50.7
6.15.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End1.6
blue by 7.9
8573
#18
15.42.1
12.614.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End6.1
Third
5908
#34
7.30.5
5.75.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.1
End0.7
blue by 0.6
8879
#16
8.01.4
6.17.4
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned