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Red43
86106.3
268725.6
25839.4
Blue27
70887.6
811417.0
29697.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5032102040607080904327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.6
27.326.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End9.0
red by 8.6
17.00.4
16.215.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End10.3
Second
2583
#20
9.40.8
9.38.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
red by 1.8
7088
#28
7.60.5
7.87.3
Auto4.4
Teleop1.3
End1.9
Third
8610
#24
6.30.6
7.77.1
Auto2.4
Teleop0.0
End3.8
blue by 1.2
2969
#23
7.50.4
8.27.9
Auto0.7
Teleop3.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned41%Hangar oddsEarned