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Red16
35456.0
83697.0
51039.4
Blue59
88183.3
421922.0
637723.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185004060801659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5103
#22
9.40.5
8.37.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.7
End3.1
blue by 14.1
6377
#12
23.41.1
20.922.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End7.5
Second
8369
#35
7.00.5
7.87.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.5
End1.3
blue by 14.9
4219
#15
22.01.1
21.222.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End8.2
Third
3545
#33
6.00.5
5.04.5
Auto3.5
Teleop-1.3
End3.8
red by 2.7
8818
#30
3.31.4
0.92.4
Auto1.7
Teleop-0.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed47%Hangar oddsEarned