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Red63
572614.7
215825.4
808814.3
Blue56
87509.4
70887.6
268725.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5644203040507080906356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.3
24.424.7
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End2.0
blue by 0.2
25.60.5
26.726.2
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End9.0
Second
14.70.2
13.814.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End4.2
red by 5.3
8750
#27
9.40.6
9.28.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.5
End3.3
Third
8088
#14
14.30.2
13.313.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End4.4
red by 6.7
7088
#28
7.60.6
7.36.7
Auto4.4
Teleop1.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsMissed