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Red28
25839.4
70887.6
88183.3
Blue39
59087.3
808814.3
87509.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15330102030405060702839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2583
#20
9.40.9
7.38.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.7
End2.1
blue by 4.9
8088
#14
14.30.7
13.514.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End4.4
Second
7088
#28
7.60.9
6.77.6
Auto4.4
Teleop1.3
End1.9
blue by 1.8
8750
#27
9.40.8
8.69.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.5
End3.3
Third
8818
#30
3.30.9
2.43.3
Auto1.7
Teleop-0.1
End1.7
blue by 4.0
5908
#34
7.30.7
6.77.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed