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Red12
4578.6
86106.3
73126.4
Blue38
88194.2
215825.4
857315.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225304060801238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#11
8.61.2
9.88.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End2.1
blue by 16.7
25.40.6
24.724.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.4
End2.0
Second
7312
#25
6.41.1
7.56.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End0.6
blue by 9.0
8573
#18
15.40.6
16.115.5
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End6.1
Third
8610
#24
6.31.1
7.46.2
Auto2.4
Teleop0.0
End3.8
red by 2.1
8819
#26
4.20.6
4.74.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed