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Red33
637723.4
61558.9
70887.6
Blue56
268725.6
752118.2
88194.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30490204060803356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#12
23.40.2
16.416.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End7.5
blue by 2.1
25.60.6
25.125.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End9.0
Second
6155
#21
8.90.2
7.98.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.9
End0.4
blue by 9.3
18.20.6
10.010.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End6.5
Third
7088
#28
7.60.3
6.46.6
Auto4.4
Teleop1.3
End1.9
red by 3.4
8819
#26
4.21.0
8.29.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed47%Hangar oddsEarned