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Red69
637723.4
752118.2
35456.0
Blue64
268725.6
288127.9
86106.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4868204060801006964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#12
23.40.4
23.423.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End7.5
blue by 4.5
27.90.3
28.428.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.7
End10.3
Second
18.20.4
18.118.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End6.5
blue by 7.4
25.60.3
26.025.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End9.0
Third
3545
#33
6.00.4
6.06.4
Auto3.5
Teleop-1.3
End3.8
blue by 0.2
8610
#24
6.30.3
6.76.4
Auto2.4
Teleop0.0
End3.8