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Red61
303515.6
749215.9
43324.2
Blue25
589214.9
125513.1
45879.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3542102030506070806125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.4
15.415.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End4.9
red by 1.0
5892
#15
14.90.3
15.315.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Second
15.60.4
15.015.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End5.0
red by 2.5
13.10.3
13.413.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.8
End4.2
Third
4332
#26
4.20.4
3.74.1
Auto1.9
Teleop1.4
End0.9
blue by 5.2
4587
#20
9.40.3
9.79.4
Auto1.9
Teleop6.2
End1.3