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Red36
817725.9
589413.6
56824.6
Blue35
83707.6
66456.4
761616.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36220103040506070803635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.4
17.317.7
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End11.0
red by 9.5
16.41.4
11.713.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End12.7
Second
5894
#11
13.60.4
11.511.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End5.1
red by 5.9
8370
#21
7.61.4
6.17.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End3.6
Third
5682
#19
4.60.4
3.64.0
Auto0.8
Teleop1.8
End2.0
blue by 1.9
6645
#22
6.41.4
4.66.0
Auto0.6
Teleop1.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsEarned