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Red38
45974.5
541419.7
81508.0
Blue15
71153.0
28828.2
85157.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2828102040503815

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.71.3
14.015.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End7.7
red by 11.5
2882
#18
8.21.3
10.08.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.0
End5.0
Second
8150
#17
8.01.3
6.07.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End1.4
red by 1.0
8515
#16
7.01.3
6.45.2
Auto2.7
Teleop0.7
End3.6
Third
4597
#32
4.51.3
6.17.4
Auto1.2
Teleop2.4
End0.9
red by 1.5
7115
#23
3.01.3
10.28.9
Auto0.1
Teleop0.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsMissed