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Red19
56824.6
82104.9
125513.1
Blue41
23116.7
303515.6
85157.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213901030506070801941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.10.3
13.112.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.8
End4.2
blue by 3.7
231
#9
16.70.7
16.116.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End4.2
Second
8210
#29
4.90.3
6.46.1
Auto1.4
Teleop2.0
End1.6
blue by 10.7
15.60.7
13.414.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End5.0
Third
5682
#19
4.60.3
2.52.2
Auto0.8
Teleop1.8
End2.0
blue by 2.5
8515
#16
7.00.6
5.25.8
Auto2.7
Teleop0.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsEarned