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Red43
761616.4
125513.1
45879.4
Blue38
81508.0
589413.6
4186.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402701020506070804338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.7
14.314.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End12.7
red by 2.8
5894
#11
13.60.6
14.214.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End5.1
Second
13.10.7
13.013.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.8
End4.2
red by 5.1
8150
#17
8.00.6
7.37.9
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End1.4
Third
4587
#20
9.40.6
8.49.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.2
End1.3
red by 2.5
418
#27
6.90.6
5.35.8
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed