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Red49
4186.9
761616.4
23116.7
Blue39
28828.2
83707.6
463924.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38430102030506070804939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#9
16.71.0
15.616.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End4.2
blue by 7.8
24.60.1
23.523.5
Auto5.1
Teleop16.2
End3.4
Second
16.41.0
14.915.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End12.7
red by 8.2
2882
#18
8.20.1
7.87.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.0
End5.0
Third
418
#27
6.90.9
5.86.8
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End2.8
blue by 0.7
8370
#21
7.60.1
8.48.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed