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Red36
303515.6
463924.6
45974.5
Blue13
43324.2
85769.8
45879.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25245101520303540453613

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.9
9.510.4
Auto5.1
Teleop16.2
End3.4
red by 14.8
8576
#13
9.81.5
7.15.5
Auto3.7
Teleop1.4
End4.7
Second
15.60.9
9.510.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End5.0
red by 6.1
4587
#20
9.41.5
10.58.9
Auto1.9
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Third
4597
#32
4.50.9
4.65.6
Auto1.2
Teleop2.4
End0.9
red by 0.3
4332
#26
4.21.5
5.43.8
Auto1.9
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed