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Red116
14853.4
680059.5
174514.7
Blue119
420648.4
246833.9
421921.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14210750200116119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.3
59.959.6
Auto13.7
Teleop31.9
End13.9
red by 11.1
48.40.1
49.049.1
Auto13.0
Teleop29.7
End5.7
Second
148
#2
53.40.3
53.853.5
Auto15.0
Teleop28.6
End9.7
red by 19.4
33.90.1
34.534.6
Auto8.1
Teleop16.1
End9.7
Third
1745
#25
14.70.3
15.114.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End6.4
blue by 6.3
4219
#21
21.10.1
21.621.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.2