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Red126
14853.4
680059.5
174514.7
Blue109
420648.4
246833.9
421921.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14110750150200126109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.0
59.559.5
Auto13.7
Teleop31.9
End13.9
red by 11.1
48.40.4
48.848.4
Auto13.0
Teleop29.7
End5.7
Second
148
#2
53.40.0
53.453.4
Auto15.0
Teleop28.6
End9.7
red by 19.4
33.90.4
34.333.9
Auto8.1
Teleop16.1
End9.7
Third
1745
#25
14.70.0
14.814.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End6.4
blue by 6.3
4219
#21
21.10.4
21.521.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.2