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Red126
14853.4
680059.5
174514.7
Blue101
749218.8
811423.0
801922.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157570100200126101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.4
62.061.6
Auto13.7
Teleop31.9
End13.9
red by 36.5
8114
#11
23.00.1
23.823.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End13.2
Second
148
#2
53.40.4
55.855.4
Auto15.0
Teleop28.6
End9.7
red by 30.8
8019
#26
22.60.1
23.323.5
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End7.5
Third
1745
#25
14.70.4
17.216.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End6.4
blue by 4.0
7492
#19
18.80.1
19.519.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End8.2