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Red99
541434.6
463932.2
464117.4
Blue75
288129.9
23132.1
271419.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888875808590959975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.4
34.134.4
Auto9.8
Teleop16.5
End8.3
red by 2.4
231
#6
32.10.3
32.632.4
Auto9.8
Teleop13.5
End8.8
Second
32.20.4
31.732.1
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End8.4
red by 2.3
2881
#14
29.90.3
30.430.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.5
End10.6
Third
4641
#16
17.40.4
17.017.3
Auto3.1
Teleop1.7
End12.6
blue by 1.7
2714
#15
19.20.3
19.719.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End5.1