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Red23
857611.0
541716.6
461010.8
Blue50
589216.1
885819.7
415322.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4555020801001202350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#37
16.61.4
20.018.7
Auto6.2
Teleop3.3
End7.1
blue by 6.1
4153
#20
22.70.8
19.118.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End12.0
Second
8576
#22
11.01.4
11.610.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End3.1
blue by 8.7
8858
#33
19.70.8
16.015.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End5.4
Third
4610
#31
10.81.4
11.810.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 5.3
5892
#23
16.10.8
15.514.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed42%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsEarned