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Red52
458716.7
887912.1
885819.7
Blue115
680059.5
463932.2
541119.0
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3511405010015052115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8858
#33
19.70.3
13.613.9
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End5.4
blue by 39.8
59.51.2
50.651.8
Auto13.7
Teleop31.9
End13.9
Second
4587
#32
16.70.3
18.218.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.1
End5.7
blue by 15.5
32.21.2
27.728.9
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End8.4
Third
8879
#34
12.10.3
11.511.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.7
blue by 7.0
5411
#29
19.01.2
18.519.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed85%Hangar oddsEarned