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Red61
541716.6
271419.2
458716.7
Blue93
215836.8
857611.0
808825.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54622040801006193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2714
#15
19.20.6
15.416.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End5.1
blue by 17.6
2158
#13
36.81.6
30.432.0
Auto12.6
Teleop16.6
End7.6
Second
4587
#32
16.70.6
18.519.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.1
End5.7
blue by 8.7
8088
#12
25.41.6
19.020.5
Auto8.1
Teleop11.4
End5.9
Third
5417
#37
16.60.6
17.618.3
Auto6.2
Teleop3.3
End7.1
red by 5.5
8576
#22
11.01.6
8.09.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsEarned