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Red65
887912.1
258230.7
861010.0
Blue35
71258.3
174514.7
805516.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49510204060801006535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.7
27.127.8
Auto8.9
Teleop9.9
End11.9
red by 13.9
8055
#30
16.81.1
16.715.6
Auto5.8
Teleop4.6
End6.4
Second
8879
#34
12.10.7
11.512.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.7
blue by 2.7
1745
#25
14.71.1
20.018.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End6.4
Third
8610
#24
10.00.7
8.08.7
Auto3.6
Teleop0.8
End5.7
red by 1.8
7125
#38
8.31.1
10.69.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsEarned