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Red100
464117.4
463932.2
284827.8
Blue40
589216.1
215836.8
461010.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8059204010012014010040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.21.8
29.531.3
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End8.4
blue by 4.6
2158
#13
36.81.5
32.030.5
Auto12.6
Teleop16.6
End7.6
Second
2848
#10
27.81.8
26.328.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End9.9
red by 11.7
5892
#23
16.11.5
15.714.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Third
4641
#16
17.41.8
16.818.6
Auto3.1
Teleop1.7
End12.6
red by 6.6
4610
#31
10.81.5
10.59.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed