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Red78
271419.2
857611.0
288129.9
Blue96
215836.8
887912.1
463932.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5365204060801007896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#14
29.91.5
27.929.4
Auto8.7
Teleop10.5
End10.6
blue by 6.9
2158
#13
36.82.2
26.728.8
Auto12.6
Teleop16.6
End7.6
Second
2714
#15
19.21.5
13.515.0
Auto5.6
Teleop8.4
End5.1
blue by 13.0
32.22.2
25.127.2
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End8.4
Third
8576
#22
11.01.5
10.111.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End3.1
blue by 1.0
8879
#34
12.12.2
8.010.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsEarned41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsEarned