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Red70
258311.1
420648.4
857611.0
Blue76
541434.6
811423.0
887912.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7367204060801001207076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.40.2
46.146.3
Auto13.0
Teleop29.7
End5.7
red by 13.9
34.60.6
30.230.7
Auto9.8
Teleop16.5
End8.3
Second
2583
#39
11.10.2
9.69.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.2
End5.6
blue by 11.9
8114
#11
23.00.6
20.621.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End13.2
Third
8576
#22
11.00.2
11.912.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End3.1
blue by 1.0
8879
#34
12.10.6
12.713.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned50%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned