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Red66
35455.9
461010.8
246833.9
Blue62
415322.7
808825.4
458716.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4356020801006662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.6
27.028.6
Auto8.1
Teleop16.1
End9.7
red by 8.5
8088
#12
25.40.7
14.315.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.4
End5.9
Second
4610
#31
10.81.6
10.211.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 11.9
4153
#20
22.70.7
18.419.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End12.0
Third
3545
#36
5.91.6
4.86.4
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End2.9
blue by 10.7
4587
#32
16.70.7
18.319.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsEarned38%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsEarned